Customers sue Singapore's DBS over Lehman Notes

Monday, July 13, 2009

More than 200 customershave sued Singapore's DBS Bank in a bid to recover investment losses arising from the collapse of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers as reported by Reuters.

The investors had purchased a callable basket of credit-linked notes, called High Notes 5, from DBS Bank. A DBS spokeswoman confirmed receipt of the claim. She said the suit was without merit and that DBS planned to contest the suit, which is the first involving the bank's High Notes 5 product.

News of the suit against DBS comes three days after Singapore's central bank banned DBS and nine other firms from selling structured notes, citing various issues, such as their failure to adequately train the staff who sold such products.

Ten or more face possible Madoff charges

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Bernard Madoff has been given the maximum sentence of 150 years for masterminding the biggest self-confessed fraud in US history. U.S. investigators believe 10 or more people associated with imprisoned swindler Bernard Madoff could be criminally charged in the coming months or beyond, a law enforcement source said on Tuesday. Madoff has not named accomplices in the classic "cash in, cash out" fraud and the only other person charged so far is his outside accountant.

Lets us see some of the interesting quotes:

BERNARD MADOFF
I will live with this pain, with this torment, for the rest of my life.
I cannot offer you an excuse for my behavior.

RUTH MADOFF, WIFE
I am embarrassed and ashamed.

DISTRICT JUDGE DENNY CHIN
Here the message must be sent that Mr Madoff's crimes were extraordinarily evil.

ALEXANDRA PENNEY, INVESTOR
Obviously, I'm delighted that the judge showed no mercy.

DOMINIC AMBROSINO, INVESTOR
I can remember the exact second my wife told me the news.

TOM FITZMAURICE, INVESTOR
My life will never be the same. I am financially ruined and will worry every day about how I will take care of my wife.

SHERYL WEINSTEIN, INVESTOR
I was introduced to Bernard Madoff 21 years ago at a business meeting. I now view that day as perhaps the unluckiest day of my life.

S&P end in red for the year

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Stocks suffered their worst one-day loss in two months, dropping the S&P 500 back into negative territory for the year in a broad-based sell-off, as investors reconsidered the health of the economy.

Shares of economically sensitive sectors such as financials, energy and materials led the S&P 500's decline. There was also a sharp drop in U.S. crude oil futures and other commodities. Crude oil prices fell about 4% to settle at $66.93/bbl.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (Chicago: VIX) jumped past the key 30 level for the market's favorite fear gauge, indicative of an expected period of high volatility on Wall Street.

This week's US$104b in auctions will mark the largest single-week of debt sales, as the U.S. government sells a record US$2t of bonds to finance bail-outs and stimulus programs.

10 US banks repaid bail-out cash, but Citi and BOA not in the list

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Ten banks have collectively repaid $68bn out of the $700bn provided through taxpayer money:

JP Morgan repaid $25bn
Goldman Sachs repaid $10bn
Morgan Stanley repaid $10bn
US Bancorp repaid $6.6bn
American Express repaid $3.4bn
Capital One Financial repaid $3.6bn
BB&T Corp repaid $3.1bn
Bank of Mellon New York repaid $3bn
State Street repaid $2bn
Northern Trust repaid $1.57bn

Before being allowed to pay back money, the banks had to be able to show that they were able to raise cash privately. The 10 banks were given the permission last week to return the funds after undergoing government financial stress tests but Wednesday was the first day they could return the money.

World stock tumble

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

U.S. stocks extended a global slide, sending the MSCI World Index down the most in two months, as falling oil and metal prices weighed on commodity producers. Treasuries rose and the dollar strengthened.

US stocks got off to a poor start Monday, with the major indices ending more than 2% in the red, as doubt grows over the sustainability of the recent rally.

This came after a weaker-than-expected regional manufacturing report dented hopes about the economy's health ? the New York Fed's Empire State index showed that the factory sector shrank at a much more severe pace in June vs. the street's expectation of a slight improvement.

The CBOE Volatility Index VIX, the benchmark gauge for U.S. stock volatility, jumped the most since April 20 as the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's general economic index fell to minus 9.4 from in June from minus 4.6. Readings below zero signal manufacturing is shrinking. Economists in a survey predicted minus 4.6. U.S. stocks fell even as the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for the U.S. economy. The VIX, which ended at 30.81, also posted its biggest gain of 9.5% since late Apr.

The major stock indexes "are back above their 200-day averages, and it's increasingly tempting to conclude that a new bull market is under way," Toronto-based Ray Hanson wrote in a report dated June 12. However, the S&P 500 "has not yet achieved a golden cross" and "the steadily declining volume since early May suggests caution," he said.

Economists and analysts now predict a sharper dip in Singapore's GDP

Thursday, June 11, 2009

US stocks ended lower on Wednesday, as spiking Treasury yields and rising commodity prices added to worries that inflation could limit any recovery effort. U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday on worries that rising interest rates could put a damper on consumer and business spending, but stocks pared losses late in the session to finish off the day's lows. The market had extended losses after a 10-year Treasury note auction sparked a sell-off in bonds, pushing yields briefly above 4 percent for the first time since October. Stocks recovered from the sell-off after the bond market rebounded, with the yield at 3.9455 percent. Investors are worried that higher yields, which act as a benchmark for many lending rates, could handcuff an economic recovery. Interest rate-sensitive stocks, such as homebuilders and financials, were among the primary laggards, with the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction index off 1.5 percent and the S&P Financial index down 1.6 percent. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 24.04 points, or 0.27 percent, to 8,739.02. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid 3.28 points, or 0.35 percent, to 939.15. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 7.05 points, or 0.38 percent, to 1,853.08.

Property auctions are in vogue again, with deals touching $18.5 million in May alone. This is higher than the $17.9 million for the whole of Q1 this year, show Colliers International figures. Banks are playing their part by occasionally stepping aside and letting owners hock their own properties. This is because prices tend to slide when financial institutions repossess a property and offer it as mortgagee sale. After a slow start to the year, a total of $47.7 million worth of properties have been sold at auction in the first five months. Colliers deputy managing director and auctioneer Grace Ng is now predicting that the year would see about $150 million of auction deals - compared to $83.7 million for 2008, which was an 11-year low. The May figure is the highest since August last year, when auction sales touched about $22.7 million. But last August's number was bumped up by state auctions that raised $13.81 million, while no such special factor was at play in May.

Economists and analysts now predict a sharper dip in Singapore's GDP for the full-year than they forecast in March, but continue to expect the rate of contraction to slow in the coming quarters, according to a quarterly survey by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, released yesterday. The survey showed that 19 professional forecasters polled in late May now expect Singapore's economy to shrink 6.5 per cent this year, worse than the 4.9 per cent contraction forecast in March. This comes in at the higher end of the official forecast of a 6 to 9 per cent contraction. For the second quarter, the median forecast from respondents was a 7.7 contraction in GDP from a year earlier, a larger decline than the 6.9 per cent fall predicted in March.

Investors worry about the rally but also worry about missing it

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

US stocks started the first day of the week sharply lower, but subsequently recovered towards the end of the session to end mixed.

The market spent much of the day chasing the fall in commodity prices but also recovered ground as commodities came off their lows. Market watchers noted that commodities tend to rise along with investors' belief in an economic recovery, and fall when pessimism sets in.

While investors are starting to worry about the soundness of the market's rally, market watchers noted that investors are also worried about missing it and hence the strong buying in at lower levels.

Besides the drop in hard commodity prices, oil also fell 35 US cents to US$68.09/barrel on NYME. Meanwhile, over in Europe, investors are also starting to worry about the longevity of the rally ? the FTSE fell 0.8%, DAX fell 1.4% and CAC dropped 1.5%.

Stock down, Credit Card delinquecy rate up, Barclays sell BGI to BlackRock

Monday, June 8, 2009

Wall Street was set for a lower open Monday following declines in Europe and as investors look to take a pause in a three-month rally. Stock futures fell. Major European markets all fell by more than 1 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 1.4 percent, Germany's DAX index declined 1.7 percent, and France's CAC-40 dropped 1.6 percent. Only Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 1 percent. The dollar rose against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

The delinquency rate jumped to 1.32 percent this year, from 1.19 percent in the first three months of 2008. The average total debt on bank cards also rose, jumping to $5,776 from $5,548 last year. Depending on the impact of economic stimulus programs and the effects of unemployment, TransUnion said the rate of increase could taper off early next year, but the peak is not likely to be reached until late 2010 or early 2011.

Barclays Plc is in talks to sell Barclays Global Investors (BGI), the British bank said on Monday, with U.S. fund manager BlackRock the frontrunner to land the asset manager for about $12 billion.

3-month market rally raises question

The rally has added 2,220 points the Dow Jones industrial average to put it within a dozen points of being flat for the year. But the Dow is still down 5,400 points from its high of 14,164.53 in October 2007. But some analysts contend that investors are in danger of setting expectations too high for how quickly the economy can recover from the recession that started in December 2007.

Even if the worst is over for the economy, investors are still staring at a long list of worries. Housing remains in a funk and unemployment sits at a 26-year high. The government said Friday that employers shed 345,000 jobs last month, the fewest since September. But unemployment is still a high 9.4 percent after four straight months of slowing layoffs.

"Are we getting ahead of ourselves in terms of market levels? I believe that we are and I think investors would be wise to take some profits off the table," said Walter Gerasimowicz, chairman and chief executive of Meditron Asset Management as reported at Yahoo Finance.

New US jobless claims dip for third week, but Malaysia export drop 26.3%

Friday, June 5, 2009

The Labor Department said that the number of initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending May 30 dipped to 621,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 625,000.

Malaysia's April exports dropped 26.3 percent year on year, according to official data released Thursday. The trade ministry said in a statement that exports fell to 41.12 billion ringgit (11.7 billion dollars) from a year ago while imports plunged 22.4 percent year on year in April to 33.76 billion ringgit.

Singapore, China, US, Japan and Thailand were the top five export destinations, accounting for 52.4 percent of exports for April. In April Malaysia's exports to China shrank 9.4 percent to 5.11 billion ringgit compared with a year ago, due to lower exports of palm oil and rubber. Exports to the US during the same period plunged 38.2 percent, due to lower exports of electrical and electronic products,

Temasek Holdings has divested its entire 2% stake in UK bank Barclays Plc and has suffered a loss of £500-600m (S$1.2-1.4bn)

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Stocks took a breather on Wednesday, halting a four-day winning streak, as falling oil prices hit energy shares, while less upbeat economic reports rekindled worries about recovery prospects. Oil prices slipped more than 3% to US$66.12/bbl after a surprise build-up in inventories.

On the economic front, data showed the vast service sector contracted for the eight straight month in May and a report showing employers axed 532,000 private-sector jobs last month. The data fell short of expectations and indicated that profit growth for companies will take longer than expected. The employment data is typically indicative of the government's unemployment report, due on Friday. The unemployment rate is forecast to jump to 9.2% from 8.9% in April.
Back in Singapore, Keppel is in Focus. SKEIE Drilling and Production (SKDP), a customer of Keppel Corp, is at risk of filing for bankruptcy if a proposed restructuring falls through. SKDP has proposed to restructure its balance sheet by i) extending the delivery dates of the 3 N-class rigs at Keppel yard by 4-6 months and ii) raising additional US$170m together with Wideluck Pte Ltd (Keppel's subsi) via US$85m equity and private placements. Keppel Corp's stake in the 3 rigs is estimated at about 10%. However, SKDP's proposal have been rejected by a group of bondholders which hold majority share of its 3 secured bond loans issued by SKDP. We have a SELL rating on Keppel Corp with a target price of S$7.10.

Temasek Holdings has bailed out of another banking investment: it has divested its entire 2% stake in UK bank Barclays Plc and has suffered a loss of £500-600m (S$1.2-1.4bn) in the process.

Temasek's loss is in sharp contrast to Abu Dhabi which sold more than 11 percent of the bank's shares on Tuesday, making a $2.5 billion profit in just seven months

Temasek first invested in Barclays in mid-2007 when Barclays was pitted against Royal Bank of Scotland in an ultimately unsuccessful bid to buy ABN Amro. At the time, Temasek purchased 135m shares, or about 1.61 per cent of Barclays. Last year, Temasek said it would spend up to £200m when Barclays launched a placing to raise £4.5bn. However, it did not disclose how many shares it actually purchased. It declined to comment on this year's sale, saying: "It is inappropriate for us to comment on individual share transactions."

Source:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/eab5c5a6-509f-11de-9530-00144feabdc0.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124402933796181059.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssFinancialServicesAndRealEstateNews/idUSL334812220090603

PM Lee says Recession far from bottoming out

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has warned that it may be too hasty to pronounce that the recession has bottomed out. Even though the US has spoken of potential green shoots in the economy, Mr Lee noted that what has happened is that things are turning bad slower.

Even as governments focus on fixing the economy, Mr Lee pointed out that they must not neglect long-term issues like climate change. To read more at CNA.

Pending Home Sales See Biggest Rise since 2001

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

The number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously owned homes climbed 6.7 percent in April, more than forecast and the fourth increase in five months, as lower prices attracted buyers.

Foreclosure-driven declines in values and tax incentives may put more homes within reach of first-time buyers, helping to stabilize the market and stemming the biggest drag on economic growth. Still, with mortgage rates no longer dropping and unemployment climbing, the real-estate industry may flounder near recent lows for months before a sustained recovery.

"This is yet another positive indication that the bottoming process is forming," Jennifer Lee, an economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote in a note to clients. "Now if only prices would stabilize."

The big boost likely reflects the impact of a new $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers that was included in the economic stimulus bill signed by President Barack Obama in February. Since buyers need to finish their purchases by Nov. 30 to claim the credit, "we expect greater activity in the months ahead," Lawrence Yun, the Realtors' chief economist, said in a statement.

NOL - Right Issue Finally

When markets improved, many companies rushing into the market to raise funds. Another S$1bln of liquidity will be taken out from the market by NOL. Neptune Orient Lines Limited said that the Company is undertaking a renounceable underwritten rights issue of new ordinary shares in the Company to raise gross proceeds of approximately S$1.437 billion on the basis of three (3) Rights Shares for every four (4) Shares at S$1.30 for each Rights Share.

In the US, the Dow Jones closed up 2.6%. In London the FTSE 100 closed up 2.0%. Frankfurt's Dax rose 4.1% and the Cac40 in Paris gained 3.1%. Reports on the manufacturing sectors in China, the US and the UK gave fresh hope that the battered sectors were on the road to recovery.

Also in the US, consumer spending was better than expected and construction spending rose for the second month. Two measures of manufacturing in China showed the sector expanded in May.

GM filed for bankruptcy and yet expect stunning opening at US stock market

Monday, June 1, 2009

GFT on Monday forecast a "stunning opening" for the first trading day of summer, expecting the Dow Jones industrial average will open up 120 points while the S&P 500 opens up 15 points. "We saw a positive PMI number from China overnight which has given traders further confidence in the recovery story," the firm wrote. "It feels like the driver today is fear amongst fund managers that they are missing the rally.

General Motors filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Monday as part of the Obama administration's plan to shrink the automaker to a sustainable size and give a majority ownership stake to the federal government. GM's bankruptcy filing is the fourth-largest in U.S. history and the largest for an industrial company. The company said it has $172.81 billion in debt and $82.29 billion in assets.

Olam sells share to Temasek

The S&P 500 spent nearly the entire session gyrating within a nine point range amid light trading volume, but managed to close at session highs following a late flurry of buying and a spike in trading volume.

In what was May's final trading session, more than 1.8 billion shares traded hands on the NYSE, the most in more than one month.

Olam International said on Monday it has agreed to sell 13.76 percent of its enlarged capital to state investor Temasek Holdings for S$437.5 million ($303.2 million). Olam said the deal, which would make Temasek the second biggest shareholder in the commodity company, is aimed to boost its future growth.

US begins GM bankruptcy planning

Friday, May 29, 2009

General Motors and the US Treasury have improved the offer to GM's bondholders, as they prepare for the firm's move into bankruptcy protection.

The U.S. Treasury, which already has loaned GM $19.4 billion, would get 72.5 percent of the new company's stock and provide $30 billion in additional financing to keep the new GM operating under bankruptcy protection. Canada's government is expected to provide an additional $9 billion, a senior Obama administration official said.

Bondholders with $27bn of GM debt are now being offered the option to buy an extra 15% of GM shares as part of a proposed bankruptcy deal. The bondholders would get 10 per cent of the common equity of "New GM" and warrants that give them the right to purchase another 15 per cent of the reorganised firm, according to the filing. If bondholders back the new offer, it will allow GM to exit bankruptcy protection more quickly. The US car giant is expected to apply for bankruptcy protection by 1 June.

German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said he had received assurances from US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that the US government would increase its support to help secure the sale of Opel, GM's main European business, which has its headquarters in Germany.

Dow -2% with General Motor -20%

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Asian stocks are set to dip on Thursday, as hopes for an economic recovery faltered on the prospect of a rise in the cost of U.S. debt. The main U.S. indexes fell by up to 2.1 percent, with shares in troubled automaker General Motor Corp falling 20 percent after a crucial bond exchange proposal failed, taking the company closer to bankruptcy. U.S. Treasury bond prices fell, as investors were concerned about the huge debt that will be needed to fund the record $1.75 trillion budget deficit would cramp the economy''s ability to recover from the recession.

Genting SP ($0.71) - Fell sharply yesterday after Major Shareholder placed out 853mln shares at $0.72 per share on 27 May.

GoldAgri ($0.425) - Fell after it announced a 17 for 100 Rights to raise up to 300mln.

Today, STI index closes up 3% at 2306 (+67 points). Is the market is going to hold up comfortably above 2300. Could this be a sucker rally in the making? I think every market participant should take a step back and ponder on this issue seriously.

Biggest monthly jump in consumer confidence

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

U.S. stocks climbed more than 2% on Tuesday as data showing the biggest monthly jump in consumer confidence in six years lifted hopes of an economic rebound. Apple's shares closed nearly 7% higher and helped the NASDAQ higher after a broker said the iPhone will drive strong earnings growth over the next two years and raised its price target on the stock.

An index of U.S. consumer confidence surged in May, strongly topping expectations as it registered the biggest monthly jump since April 2003, according to the Conference Board, an industry group. The index jumped to 54.9 in May from a revised 40.8 in April.

Oil hit a fresh six-month high on Tuesday, bolstered by U.S. consumer confidence data and comments from OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia that prices may continue to rise. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi told the press ahead of Thursday's OPEC meeting he hoped oil prices would hit $75 a barrel between the third and fourth quarters of this year. U.S. crude oil rose 78cents to settle at $62.45 a barrel.

General Motors Corp has failed to persuade enough bondholders to accept a debt-for-equity swap, setting the stage for the largest-ever U.S. industrial bankruptcy within days.

China stuck in dollar trap

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

"China stuck in dollar trap," says the headline on the front page of the Financial Times. The FT says China is buying more U.S. bonds than ever. It must...according to the news report...because it has too many. Unless it supports the dollar, it risks a big collapse in the value of its foreign exchange holdings (mostly in dollars).

For now, the United States has to sell trillions more in bonds to finance its imperial ambitions, bailouts and boondoggles. The Fed will have to buy them...along with the Chinese. If stocks fall - as we expect - they are likely to be joined by many other buyers too - all seeking safe haven in the world's leading credit.

Treasury bond prices aren't the only U.S. assets plunging. The U.S. dollar is also plunging against major world currencies. It has just fallen below 6-month lows. It's almost certainly going to fall further.Gold has surged dramatically, coming within striking distance of the $1,000 level ? and beyond.

US stocks finished lower Friday after a late selloff erased the day's gains

Monday, May 25, 2009

Bank of America Corp. and American Express Co. slumped at least 3 percent as the government prepared to raise $162 billion by selling securities next week. Investors including Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Bill Gross have said the U.S. will lose its AAA credit rating. Salesforce.com Inc. dropped 8.8 percent after its sales forecast missed analysts' estimates.

Sears Holdings Corp. jumped 10 percent, limiting the market's decline, after the department store posted an unexpected profit. McDonald's Corp. advanced 2.5 percent, also fueling a rally by consumer companies, after analysts said that profit margins in Europe are improving.

Singapore stocks closed 1.55 per cent higher Friday after bargain-hunting reversed earlier losses. The blue chip Straits Times Index (STI) gained 34.30 points to 2,245.27 with gainers leading losers 284 to 198. Banking shares closed higher, with DBS gaining 20 cents to $11.80, OCBC inching up eight cents to $7.18 and UOB climbing 24 cents to $14.32.

Keppel Corp said on Sunday a wholly-owned unit had sold its entire stake (45.5%) in Singapore Petroleum Company (SPC) to PetroChina for S$1.47 billion ($1.02 billion) or $6.25 per share.

GM borrowed additional $4b, and $30b more soon?

Saturday, May 23, 2009

General Motors could be on the verge of receiving another $30 billion in federal loans - or twice the amount it received when it was bailed out by the administration of President George W. Bush last year.

Obama said in an interview broadcast Saturday on C-SPAN that the beleaguered automakers should aim to have product lines that appeal to consumers -- and that means fuel efficient and high-performance vehicles that Americans hunger for.

GM borrowed an additional $4 billion from the government Friday on top of $15.4 billion it previously received. The administration has demanded that the restructuring include cutting labor costs, reducing debt, shedding dealerships and brands, and closing excess factories.
 
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